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- Taking Some Heat Off the NDCs? The Limited Potential of Additional Short-lived Climate Forcers’ Mitigation
Abstract
Several studies have shown that the greenhouse gas reduction resulting from the current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) will not be enough to meet the overall targets of the Paris Climate Agreement. It has been suggested that more ambition mitigations of short-lived climate forcer (SLCF) emissions could potentially be a way to reduce the risk of overshooting the 1.5 or 2 °C target in a cost-effective way. In this study, we employ eight state-of-the-art integrated assessment models (IAMs) to examine the global temperature effects of ambitious reductions of methane, black and organic carbon, and hydrofluorocarbon emissions.
Meet the authors

Gunnar Luderer

Steven J. Smith

Shinichiro Fujimori

Kimon Keramidas

Fuminori Sano

Zbigniew Klimont

Keywan Riahi

Lara Aleluia Reis

Laurent Drouet

Detlef P. van Vuuren

Jérôme Hilaire

Oliver Fricko

Mathijs Harmsen

Energy Macro & Microeconomics
Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
Principal Fellow- Energy Macro & Microeconomics